Dissertation Research

1. Long-term health effects of the WIC program and policy multiplier effects of large-scale public programs

The Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) will celebrate its 50th anniversary in 2024. Since its inception, the program has been serving primarily racial and ethnic minorities (about 60-64% of the program participants in the 1970s and about 70% today). For this reason, WIC has the potential to reduce long-standing health disparities by improving the health of historically medically underserved groups. In this project, I use a quasi-experimental research design, based on the WIC historical roll-out, and a sample of over 1 million observations, to estimate average causal intend-to-treat effects of exposure to the WIC program in-utero on a range of longer-term health and other outcomes in adulthood. I find positive and statistically significant health effects for Blacks in adulthood, on the order of about a quarter of a standard deviation, and show that these effects are concentrated in counties that had the highest poverty and teenage pregnancy rates prior to WIC introduction. Additionally, I find positive and statistically significant well-being effects for Whites driven by improvements in their health and economic self-sufficiency, in counties that had high teenage pregnancy rates prior to WIC introduction. Finally, I estimate the Marginal Value of Public Funds (MVPF) function for the WIC program and study dynamic complementarity effects of large-scale public programs and investments.

2. The effect of access to mental healthcare on teen and adolescent pregnancy

There is a growing literature on the strong association between poor mental health during teenagehood and adolescence and early pregnancy, and although the association established in this literature is not causal, it nevertheless points to the possibility that poor mental health in teens and adolescents, if not addressed through access to appropriate mental healthcare, might lead to early pregnancy through an inconsistent use of contraception or risky sexual behaviors. In this project, I pursue several empirical approaches to analyze the effect of access to mental healthcare under Medicaid on teen and adolescent pregnancy incidence. In particular, in my analysis of adolescent pregnancy, I leverage a discrete break in Medicaid eligibility at age 19 and study the effect of losing access to mental healthcare services provided by Medicaid on adolescent girls’ chances of pregnancy in the short-term. By using detailed data on girls’ mental health histories, I distinguish between the effect of losing access to mental healthcare from the effect of losing access to general healthcare and low-cost contraception. In my analysis of teen pregnancy, I use several instruments for the wait time a girl faces for starting mental health treatment under Medicaid and test the hypothesis that longer wait times for starting treatment lead to higher chances of teen pregnancy. Additionally, I use a regression discontinuity design to study the consequences of eliminating age limit for Medicaid coverage of emergency contraception when obtained over-the-counter in select states, overall and for a sub-population of young women with mental health histories.

3.1 COVID-driven technology adoption and US firm labor demand

This project has three objectives. The first objective is to provide more direct evidence than is currently available that technology adoption has a permanent upskilling effect, using granular firm-level data on technology adoption decisions and spending linked to the data on firm-level labor demand, with the identification strategy (instrumental variable) that addresses the endogeneity of firm technology adoption decisions and spending. For this purpose, I link rich Burning Glass Technologies data on millions of firm job postings to restricted firm-level Census Bureau data, and use firms’ differential exposure to the COVID pandemic as an instrument for their technology spending. The second objective of this study is to examine in great detail the heterogeneity in the impacts of technology adoption on firm labor demand by type of technology. Understanding this heterogeneity might be crucial to understanding the potential impacts of new technologies on the inequality among workers of different skill levels. Finally, the third objective is to provide first empirical evidence on new job task creation activity by firms. In particular, I use Natural Language Processing methods to identify, quantify, and characterize the distribution of, new job task creation activity by firms over the past 15 years.

A more detailed description of this project is available on the Russell Sage Foundation website here.

3.2 The COVID pandemic and new work

This project uses proprietary Burning Glass Technologies data on millions of job postings in the US over 2007-2022 to identify new work creation activity by firms following the COVID pandemic. Specifically, we take the approach similar to Autor et al. (2022) and identify, at a very granular level, new job titles that appeared during and immediately after the pandemic, with a particular focus on several industries, such as healthcare. We then characterize the geographical, industry, and occupational distribution of this new work creation activity. We also evaluate the skill content of new work, as well as its educational and experience requirements, to understand whether it is expected to affect higher or lower skill workers. Finally, we link job postings by employer over time to evaluate whether younger firms are more likely to engage in new work creation. This project is part of a larger study that links Burning Glass Technologies data with restricted firm-level Census Bureau data to estimate the effect of COVID-driven technology adoption on US firm labor demand.